Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Salgueiros — Estoril
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Estoril are clear favourites: 63% against 16% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Estoril are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Salgueiros — Estoril What is xG? | 0.9–2.0 | |
| Salgueiros not to lose | 37% | |
| Estoril not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Salgueiros
- Salgueiros goals
- Estoril goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · Académico Viseu1:2
- 20.09Casa Pia AC1:2
- 14.09away · Braga0:1
- 07.09Arouca0:0
- 31.08away · Benfica1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 1219702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →