Norwegian Eliteserien, round 24 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Sarpsborg 08 — Rosenborg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Sarpsborg 08 37%, Rosenborg 36%, draw 27%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sarpsborg 08 — Rosenborg What is xG? | 1.7–1.6 | |
| Sarpsborg 08 not to lose | 64% | |
| Rosenborg not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sarpsborg 08
- Sarpsborg 08 goals
- Rosenborg goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Aalesund4:2
- 18.09KFUM1:3
- 13.09away · Fredrikstad1:1
- 06.09Vålerenga2:2
- 30.08away · Tromsø0:0
- 10.10Sandefjord1:1
- 19.09away · Kristiansund3:1
- 12.09Tromsø5:3
- 05.09Hamarkameratene4:0
- 30.08away · Bodø/Glimt2:4
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Rosenborg — Sarpsborg 082:1
- 05.10.2025Rosenborg — Sarpsborg 082:3
- 18.07.2025Sarpsborg 08 — Rosenborg2:2
- 23.11.2024Rosenborg — Sarpsborg 081:1
- 12.07.2024Sarpsborg 08 — Rosenborg4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Molde | 22 | 11 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrøm | 22 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | KFUM | 22 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 3427392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.5
- 7018121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.7
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 6422141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →