Norwegian Eliteserien, round 24 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Tromsø — KFUM
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Tromsø are clear favourites: 64% against 14% for the opponent, draw 22%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Tromsø are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tromsø — KFUM What is xG? | 2.0–0.9 | |
| Tromsø not to lose | 86% | |
| KFUM not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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- Handicap Tromsø
- Tromsø goals
- KFUM goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Fredrikstad1:1
- 20.09Hamarkameratene3:2
- 12.09away · Rosenborg3:5
- 06.09away · Kristiansund0:2
- 30.08Sarpsborg 080:0
- 12.10Vålerenga2:1
- 18.09away · Sarpsborg 083:1
- 13.09Aalesund2:1
- 06.09away · Molde0:2
- 30.08away · Start1:4
Head to head
- 29.05.2026KFUM — Tromsø0:0
- 31.08.2025Tromsø — KFUM2:0
- 11.05.2025KFUM — Tromsø1:3
- 18.08.2024KFUM — Tromsø0:1
- 13.07.2024Tromsø — KFUM1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Viking | 22 | 17 | +36 | 53 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Tromsø | 22 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Molde | 22 | 11 | +12 | 37 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | KFUM | 22 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamarkameratene | 22 | 7 | -13 | 26 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3427392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.5
- 7018121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.7
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →