Swiss Super League, round 10 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stade de Genève
Servette — Sion
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:0Missed
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Sion to win (37%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 37% fails in about 63 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Servette 35%, Sion 37%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.4.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Servette — Sion What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Servette not to lose | 63% | |
| Sion not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Servette
- Servette goals
- Sion goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 19.09away · Young Boys2:3
- 16.09away · Thun4:2
- 13.09away · Lausanne1:0
- 06.09St. Gallen0:2
- 03.09away · Lugano0:1
- 19.09FC Zürich1:1
- 15.09away · Grasshopper5:2
- 12.09away · St. Gallen3:0
- 06.09Thun3:2
- 03.09away · Basel2:1
Head to head
- 28.02.2026Servette — Sion0:0
- 31.01.2026Servette — Sion3:3
- 17.09.2025Sion — Servette0:2
- 13.04.2025Sion — Servette1:1
- 04.02.2025Sion — Servette3:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Championship round | Young Boys | 10 | 6 | +15 | 22 |
| 3, Championship round | Sion | 10 | 6 | +6 | 19 |
| 4, Championship round | St. Gallen | 10 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 5, Championship round | FC Zürich | 10 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 6, Championship round | Servette | 10 | 4 | +1 | 13 |
| 7, Relegation round | Basel | 10 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
Next matches
- ServetteFC Vaduz24 October · Swiss Super League · preliminary4825261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- SionLausanne25 October · Swiss Super League · preliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Swiss Super League on the same day
- 3427392The most likely outcome did not happen: 24:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 0:1.3.6
- 4627271The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 2:0.3.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →