Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Vitória de Setúbal — União Serra
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Vitória de Setúbal are clear favourites: 66% against 14% for the opponent, draw 20%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vitória de Setúbal are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vitória de Setúbal — União Serra What is xG? | 2.2–0.9 | |
| Vitória de Setúbal not to lose | 86% | |
| União Serra not to lose | 34% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Vitória de Setúbal
- Vitória de Setúbal goals
- União Serra goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · CD Alcains2:0
- 26.07Cova da Piedade SAD2:0
- 21.07away · Sporting CP0:0
- 13.07Famalicão1:2
- 08.07away · Aves0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 1219702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.9
- 4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 714792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →