Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
CD Badajoz — Tenerife
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tenerife are clear favourites: 56% against 20% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Tenerife are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CD Badajoz — Tenerife What is xG? | 1.0–1.9 | |
| CD Badajoz not to lose | 44% | |
| Tenerife not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CD Badajoz
- CD Badajoz goals
- Tenerife goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
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This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →