Serie B, round 9 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Mantova — Cremonese
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Mantova are slightly stronger: 39% against 30%, draw 31%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cremonese are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mantova — Cremonese What is xG? | 1.4–1.2 | |
| Mantova not to lose | 70% | |
| Cremonese not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mantova
- Mantova goals
- Cremonese goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Catanzaro3:1
- 20.09Pisa2:2
- 13.09Sampdoria2:0
- 06.09away · Cesena1:1
- 03.09away · Palermo2:5
- 10.10away · Arezzo0:0
- 19.09Virtus Entella0:0
- 12.09away · Cesena2:2
- 06.09Padova3:1
- 01.09away · Parma2:0
Head to head
- 25.04.2025Cremonese — Mantova4:2
- 09.11.2024Mantova — Cremonese1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Palermo | 6 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 2, Promotion | Mantova | 6 | 4 | +7 | 14 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Modena | 6 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
Serie B on the same day
- BeneventoCatanzaropreliminary3930321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- AscoliSampdoriapreliminary4531251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- CesenaEmpolipreliminary4728251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Virtus EntellaAvellinopreliminary4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- LR VicenzaModenapreliminary2529462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- PadovaSüdtirolpreliminary333235XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →