Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Xerez — Cádiz
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cádiz are clear favourites: 53% against 23% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cádiz are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Xerez — Cádiz What is xG? | 1.1–1.8 | |
| Xerez not to lose | 47% | |
| Cádiz not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Xerez
- Xerez goals
- Cádiz goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
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- PoblenseAD Ceuta FCpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- PortugaleteReal Uniónpreliminary4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UteboSabadellpreliminary916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- SD AmorebietaLogroñéspreliminary5325221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →