EFL Championship, round 10 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff City — Watford
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 13 October
In short
Cardiff City are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Cardiff City: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cardiff City — Watford What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Cardiff City not to lose | 74% | |
| Watford not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cardiff City
- Cardiff City goals
- Watford goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Blackburn Rovers1:2
- 19.09Charlton Athletic3:1
- 12.09away · Bolton Wanderers0:1
- 08.09Stoke City1:1
- 05.09away · Portsmouth0:2
- 10.10Burnley0:4
- 18.09away · Bristol City0:1
- 12.09Stoke City1:2
- 08.09Preston North End2:1
- 05.09away · West Bromwich Albion0:1
Head to head
- 14.01.2025Cardiff City — Watford1:1
- 29.12.2024Watford — Cardiff City1:2
- 03.02.2024Watford — Cardiff City0:1
- 07.10.2023Cardiff City — Watford1:1
- 19.04.2023Watford — Cardiff City1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 9 | 2 | -7 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City | 9 | 1 | -3 | 7 |
| 22, Relegation | Burnley | 9 | 1 | -4 | 7 |
Championship on the same day
- 4130301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 5826161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 5924161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 2228502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →