EFL Championship, round 10 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Molineux Stadium

Wolverhampton Wanderers — Bolton Wanderers

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Model prediction for 13 October

Wolverhampton Wanderers61%
Draw22%
Bolton Wanderers17%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Wolverhampton Wanderers are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Wolverhampton Wanderers are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers — Bolton Wanderers What is xG?2.0–1.0
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to lose83%
Bolton Wanderers not to lose39%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.558%
Total under 2.542%

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Form

Wolverhampton Wanderers

  • 10.10away · Middlesbrough0:1
  • 20.09West Bromwich Albion1:0
  • 16.09away · Everton0:1
  • 13.09away · Sheffield United1:0
  • 06.09away · Birmingham City2:2

Bolton Wanderers

  • 10.10Stoke City1:2
  • 20.09away · Norwich City4:3
  • 12.09Cardiff City1:0
  • 08.09West Ham United2:3
  • 05.09away · Millwall0:4

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5, Promotion play-offsStoke City951315–13+216
6, Promotion play-offsWolverhampton Wanderers842215–11+414
7, Promotion play-offsQueens Park Rangers935111–8+314
16Lincoln City93247–11-411
17Bolton Wanderers931512–17-510
18Norwich City930617–19-29

Season 2026/27

Full table

Championship on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →