Nigeria NPFL, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Enyimba — Kun Khalifat

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Model prediction for 1 November

Enyimba61%
Draw22%
Kun Khalifat16%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Enyimba are clear favourites: 61% against 16% for the opponent, draw 22%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Enyimba are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Enyimba — Kun Khalifat What is xG?1.9–0.8
Enyimba not to lose84%
Kun Khalifat not to lose39%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Enyimba
  • Enyimba goals
  • Kun Khalifat goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Enyimba

  • 09.10away · Katsina United2:4
  • 04.10Plateau United2:0
  • 30.09Shooting Stars4:2
  • 27.09away · Kano Pillars0:0
  • 23.09Sporting Lagos2:3

Kun Khalifat

  • 11.10Shooting Stars2:0
  • 04.10away · Niger Tornadoes0:1
  • 27.09Kwara United1:0
  • 24.09away · Rivers United FC0:5
  • 20.09Enugu Rangers2:4

Head to head

  • 01.03.2026Enyimba — Kun Khalifat1:1
  • 12.10.2025Kun Khalifat — Enyimba1:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
17Shooting Stars82247–11-48
18Kun Khalifat82247–14-78
19Enyimba821511–14-37
20Inter Lagos81255–13-85

Season 2026/27

Full table

Nigeria NPFL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →