EFL Championship, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Wolverhampton Wanderers — Watford
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Wolverhampton Wanderers are clear favourites: 63% against 14% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Wolverhampton Wanderers are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers — Watford What is xG? | 1.9–0.8 | |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers not to lose | 86% | |
| Watford not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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Form
- 10.10away · Middlesbrough0:1
- 20.09West Bromwich Albion1:0
- 16.09away · Everton0:1
- 13.09away · Sheffield United1:0
- 06.09away · Birmingham City2:2
- 10.10Burnley0:4
- 18.09away · Bristol City0:1
- 12.09Stoke City1:2
- 08.09Preston North End2:1
- 05.09away · West Bromwich Albion0:1
Head to head
- 10.03.2022Wolverhampton Wanderers — Watford4:0
- 11.09.2021Watford — Wolverhampton Wanderers0:2
- 01.01.2020Watford — Wolverhampton Wanderers2:1
- 28.09.2019Wolverhampton Wanderers — Watford2:0
- 27.04.2019Watford — Wolverhampton Wanderers1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 9 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 8 | 4 | +4 | 14 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 9 | 2 | -7 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City | 9 | 1 | -3 | 7 |
Championship on the same day
- Charlton AthleticNorwich Citypreliminary3130392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- PortsmouthMillwallpreliminary352935XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- Sheffield UnitedDerby Countypreliminary5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Blackburn RoversWrexhampreliminary4030311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- Cardiff CityBirmingham Citypreliminary3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Lincoln CityBurnleypreliminary373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- Preston North EndWest Bromwich Albionpreliminary343036XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- Queens Park RangersSwansea Citypreliminary4129311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →