Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
CD Laredo — Burgos CF
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Burgos CF are clear favourites: 77% against 8% for the opponent, draw 15%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Burgos CF are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CD Laredo — Burgos CF What is xG? | 0.7–2.6 | |
| CD Laredo not to lose | 23% | |
| Burgos CF not to lose | 92% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap CD Laredo
- CD Laredo goals
- Burgos CF goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Granada0:1
- 03.10away · Almería1:2
- 27.09Eldense1:0
- 20.09away · Las Palmas2:1
- 11.09AD Ceuta FC3:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Atletico CalatayudOsasunapreliminary714802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4
- Atlético BalearesEldensepreliminary2425512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- UB LebrijanaGetafepreliminary613802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- San Sebastian de los ReyesCD Coriapreliminary4226311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- AntequeraCDA Águilas FCpreliminary3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- ConquenseCastellónpreliminary816762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- GuijueloSporting Gijónpreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- Real ÁvilaUnionistas de Salamancapreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →