Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

UB Lebrijana — Getafe

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Model prediction for 29 October

UB Lebrijana6%
Draw13%
Getafe80%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Getafe are clear favourites: 80% against 6% for the opponent, draw 13%.

3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Getafe are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: UB Lebrijana — Getafe What is xG?0.7–2.8
UB Lebrijana not to lose20%
Getafe not to lose94%
No draw87%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.567%
Total under 2.533%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap UB Lebrijana
  • UB Lebrijana goals
  • Getafe goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

UB Lebrijana

No past matches in the data yet.

Getafe

  • 10.10away · Barcelona0:3
  • 20.09Málaga1:0
  • 17.09away · Real Betis0:1
  • 13.09Deportivo A Coruña1:1
  • 07.09Celta Vigo1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →