Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Mushuc Runa — Manta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Mushuc Runa are clear favourites: 57% against 18% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Mushuc Runa are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mushuc Runa — Manta What is xG? | 1.6–0.8 | |
| Mushuc Runa not to lose | 82% | |
| Manta not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mushuc Runa
- Mushuc Runa goals
- Manta goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Delfín2:3
- 21.09away · Deportivo Cuenca1:1
- 13.09away · Guayaquil City1:3
- 08.09Leones del Norte1:1
- 02.09away · LDU de Quito0:0
- 10.10Técnico Universitario1:0
- 21.09Orense2:1
- 12.09Aucas0:0
- 08.09away · Emelec0:1
- 02.09away · CSD Macará3:4
Head to head
- 01.08.2026Manta — Mushuc Runa1:2
- 11.04.2026Mushuc Runa — Manta1:0
- 08.11.2025Manta — Mushuc Runa3:0
- 25.10.2025Mushuc Runa — Manta1:1
- 31.08.2025Mushuc Runa — Manta2:0
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- Universidad Católica (ECU)Aucaspreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- Independiente del ValleLDU de Quitopreliminary6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- CSD MacaráBarcelona SCpreliminary4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Guayaquil CityLibertad (ECU)preliminary372934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- EmelecLeones del Nortepreliminary4031291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
- DelfínDeportivo Cuencapreliminary383230XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.8
- OrenseTécnico Universitariopreliminary5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →