UEFA Europa League, round 2 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Torreense — Sunderland
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Sunderland are slightly stronger: 46% against 29%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sunderland are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Torreense — Sunderland What is xG? | 1.2–1.6 | |
| Torreense not to lose | 54% | |
| Sunderland not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Torreense
- Torreense goals
- Sunderland goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 17.09away · Lillestrøm2:1
- 24.05away · Sporting CP2:1
- 23.04AD Fafe2:0
- 04.02away · AD Fafe1:1
- 11.01União de Leiria3:1
- 10.10Brighton & Hove Albion0:2
- 20.09away · Manchester City3:5
- 16.09AZ Alkmaar1:0
- 12.09Arsenal0:2
- 08.09Hull City1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Olympiacos | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Salzburg | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 16, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Europa League on the same day
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 3226412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →