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Primera Nacional: matchday 36 predictions
31 October – 2 November · 18 matches · season 2026 · round over
Primera Nacional matchday 36: 18 matches, 31 October – 2 November. The model expects 2.2 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 15 matches, an away win in 2 and a draw in 1. The round is over: the most likely outcome came true in 11 of 18 matches, against 9.1 expected by the model’s probabilities.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favouriteDeportivo Morón — Ciudad de BolívarDeportivo Morón 61% to win; most likely score 2:0; final score 2:0
- Closest matchAcassuso — Ferro Carril Oeste36% v 31%, draw 33%; final score 0:0
- Most goals expectedSan Martín San Juan — Gimnasia Jujuy2.6 goals on average; over 2.5: 49%; final score 5:1
- Possible upsetLos Andes — Club Atlético MitreClub Atlético Mitre 19% to win: the best underdog chance of the round; final score 0:0
The matches
Saturday, 31 October
- 363331XThe most likely outcome came true: X0:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.0
- 5726171The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 4430261The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 2229492The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
- 6025151The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:0.2.5
- 5626181The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
- 2931402The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.3
- 4531231The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.0
- 5728141The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.0
- 6125151The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.4
- 5030191The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.0
- 6125141The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.4
Sunday, 1 November
- 5728151The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
Monday, 2 November
- 4929221The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 5329181The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
- 4033261The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:1.1.9
- 4731221The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.1
- 5131181The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.1.9
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.