UEFA Champions League, round 2 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens — Sporting CP
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Lens to win (42%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 42% fails in about 58 matches out of 100 on average.
Lens are slightly stronger: 42% against 32%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Lens are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lens — Sporting CP What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Lens not to lose | 68% | |
| Sporting CP not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lens
- Lens goals
- Sporting CP goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 09.10Lyon2:1
- 18.09away · Monaco1:2
- 13.09away · Le Mans2:2
- 10.09away · Slavia Prague3:2
- 05.09Lorient0:1
- 09.10away · Braga3:1
- 19.09Arouca2:2
- 13.09away · Famalicão1:1
- 09.09Galatasaray3:1
- 05.09Nacional2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Straight to the round of 16 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 2, Straight to the round of 16 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 15, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 16, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Lens | 2 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 17, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Sabah FK | 2 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
Next matches
- TroyesLens17 October · Ligue 11018722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- Sporting CPLASK21 October · Champions League · preliminary7317101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
Champions League on the same day
- 3627372The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:2.2.8
- InterClub Bruggelive6222171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
- ArsenalLillelive801471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
- 5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- VillarrealNapolilive4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2425512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 1219692The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →