Championship: matchday 10 predictions
13–14 October · 12 matches · season 2026/27 · under way
Championship matchday 10: 12 matches, 13–14 October. The model expects 2.7 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 9 matches, an away win in 3.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favouriteWolverhampton Wanderers — Bolton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers 63% to win; most likely score 1:0
- Closest matchPortsmouth — Sheffield United38% v 33%, draw 29%
- Most goals expectedNorwich City — Southampton3.2 goals on average; over 2.5: 62%
- Possible upset · Top-of-the-table clashStoke City — MiddlesbroughStoke City 21% to win: the best underdog chance of the round; 5th v 2nd in the table
What is at stake
Swansea City lead with 20 points from 9 matches; Middlesbrough are second, 2 points behind. The leader’s game this round: Millwall — Swansea City, 24% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Swansea City 12%, Middlesbrough 25%.
In the relegation zone: Burnley, Derby County and Preston North End; they are up to 3 points behind 21st place. Most at risk by the season forecast: Preston North End, 48% to go down.
The matches
Tuesday, 13 October
- 4130301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 5826161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 4728261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 2128512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
Wednesday, 14 October
- 3127422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- 3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 4529261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
Championship: matches and table →Season forecast →Power rankings →