Serie A: matchday 7 predictions
16–19 October · 10 matches · season 2026/27
Serie A matchday 7: 10 matches, 16–19 October. The model expects 2.6 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 4 matches, an away win in 4 and a draw in 2. In matchday 6 the most likely outcome came true in 6 of 10 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favouriteVenezia — NapoliNapoli 67% to win; most likely score 1:2
- Closest matchMonza — Cagliari34% v 38%, draw 28%
- Most goals expectedFrosinone — Sassuolo3.2 goals on average; over 2.5: 60%
- Possible upsetUdinese — LecceLecce 21% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
What is at stake
Inter lead with 16 points from 6 matches; Lazio are second, level on points. The leader’s game this round: Bologna — Inter, 59% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Inter 51%, Lazio 2%.
In the relegation zone: Parma, Fiorentina and Venezia; they are up to 4 points behind 17th place. Most at risk by the season forecast: Venezia, 66% to go down.
The matches
Friday, 16 October
- 323137XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:23.2
Saturday, 17 October
- 1221672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 1625592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 6524111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
Sunday, 18 October
- 5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 2828432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- 4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 6223141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
Monday, 19 October
- 3428382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- 293338XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
Serie A: matches and table →Season forecast →Power rankings →